Where are these
rational leaders of governments? You tell me. The U.S. is run by trigger-happy,
paranoid gunslingers and several other countries, such as North Korea and Iran appear to be just as reckless.
By the ill-advised invasion of Iraq in 2003, the United States exposed
a serious vulnerability in its much-vaunted military might. The U.S.
cannot fight, or win, a
long term, ground-based, guerilla war. The citizens of America do not want a ruthless Empire-building regime
not that what
Americans want is of any concern to the Bush Administration or to the
think tanks which
design and drive the policies.
Men who ought to know better are repeating the
mistakes made in the Vietnam War.
This back to the future state of affairs has not gone unnoticed by
Iraqs neighbor Iran. Hated by the late Saddam Hussein, by the American
public, by the manipulators in Washington and by the leaders of Israel,
Iran has seen its opportunity for Middle East dominance. Hoping that
the U.S. will suffer a serious humiliation in Iraq, does
Iran do more than pray for the Shia majority in Iraq? Remember, Iran has a
powerful friend in
Russia.
A game of defiance is being played out by the Iranian regime. It is a
game of brinksmanship to see just how much Iran can get away with
and
gain in the process.
As a signatory of the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, Iran has the right to develop nuclear energy for peaceful uses. Israel, Pakistan and India, all nuclear powers, are
not signatories. This is the
trump card Iran has been playing all along.
Does Iran have a
covert nuclear weapons program?
Nobody really knows. This is precisely Irans idea, to keep the
world guessing. The potential of Iran possessing nuclear weapons gives that country
clout and leverage in the Middle East.
The possibility of an Iran capable of launching nuclear weapons
certainly has much of the world quite nervous
too nervous. Previously
committed to non-nuclear policies,
Other Persian Gulf nations, are concerned to the point of reversing those policies and have announced their own plans of developing
peaceful nuclear capabilities.
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has
stated quite clearly that Israel will not permit a nuclear Iran.
The United States also considers a
nuclear Iran unacceptable.
Does the U.S. dare to invade Iran with a conventional ground army?
Obviously, this is a ludicrous impossibility. The US military has told
Bush only
9,000 troops are available for his surge in Iraq. Bush has
rejected diplomacy. So what are the remaining options? I think they are fairly obvious. Is wiping
Iran off the map one of those
options Bush has left on the table?
How far does Iran dare to push Israel and the United States? How far do
Israel and the U.S. dare to push Iran? At what point will someone lose
a nuclear temper? Israel may be standing on the brink right now with
reports of
plans to nuke Iranian
nuclear facilities. Israel
denies the report labeling it incorrect.
Time and time again Israel has shown little mercy to those who threaten her. The state of Israel believes in
ensuring its survival.
Brutal retaliation for any threat to her security has been Israels modus operandi. And now, after last summers
Lebanese debacle, Israel sits in embarrassed defeat by Hezbollah
and fearful of another Holocaust.
Iranian President Ahmadinejad needs to learn some tact. Recently the Iranian president further taunted Israel with his
Holocaust Conference.
Ahmadinejad has been quoted as calling for Israel to be
wiped off the map. Manouchehr Mottaki, Irans foreign minister attempted to
clarify
Ahmadinejads speech. Speaking in Brussels, Mottaki said of Israel We
do not recognize legally this regime." Mottaki asked, How is it
possible to remove a country from the map? Good question. Ask Israel,
ask Bush?
Will the Israelis use the
boastings of an
increasingly unpopular loud mouth like Ahmandinejad as one of their excuses to attack Iran? Its been done before
in Iraq.
Will Israel say enough! and push the button?
Or will George W. Bush beat Israel to it? As War President, Mr. Bush
has been a failure. Public support for Bushs Global War on Terror
has turned against him not because of the illegality, expense or
slaughter but because losing another war has embarrassed America and
her puffed up president.
Delusional dreams of conquest have addled The Deciders decision making. Reality is falling dreadfully short of his fantasies.
A second
U.S. carrier strike group has been sent to the Persian Gulf, not for diplomatic purposes but as a threat to Iran. Like a sitting duck, these
carrier groups are easy targets for Irans
newly acquired missiles. Its almost as if Bush is
baiting the Iranians to lob a missile at a U.S. aircraft carrier which would give him the green light to push the red button.
Bush means business. A tactical U.S. nuclear strike would serve as a firm warning to the rest of the world that The Will of Bush must be served.
Or would it? In the twilight of his second term, Bush is desperate to do
something glorious. Is Bush crazy enough to consider nuclear war a crowning glory?
Are any of the involved parties rational enough to
back away from
Armageddon?
Elizabeth Gyllensvard contributed to and edited this story.