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Military or Market-Driven Empire Building: 1950-2008
by James Petras
From the middle of the 19th century but especially after the Second World War, two models of empire building competed on a world scale: One predominantly based on military conquests, involving direct invasions, proxy invading armies and subsidized separatist military forces; and the other predominantly based on large-scale, long-term economic penetration via a combination of investments, loans, credits and trade in which market power and the superiority (greater productivity) in the means of production led to the construction of a virtual empire.
Throughout the 19th to the middle of the 20th centuries, European and US empire building resorted to the military route, especially in Asia, Africa, Central America, North America and the Caribbean. By far the British and US colonized the greatest territories through military force, followed by the introduction of state directed mercantile systems, the Monroe doctrine for the US and imperial preference for the British.
30/04/08 "ICH" -South America following independence became the site of the
growth of market powered empire building. British and later US capital
successfully captured the commanding heights of the economies,
especially the agro-mining and petroleum export sectors, trade, finance
and in some cases attached customs and treasury to cover debt
collection. As late developing capitalist countries and emerging
imperial powers (EIP), the US, Germany and Japan faced the hostility of
the established European empires and limited access to strategic
markets and raw materials. The EIP adopted several strategies in
challenging the existing empires. These included demands for free trade
with their colonies and the end of imperial (colonial) privilege/
preference. The EIP established parallel colonial settlements and
concessions, bordering the old empires. They fomented and financed
anti-colonial revolts to replace existing colonial collaborators and
pursued economic penetration via superior production. They disseminated
political propaganda promoting democratic values within a market
driven empire. World War Two marked the decline of the European
military based colonial empire and the US transition from a
predominantly market to military-based empire. This transition was
facilitated by earlier military occupations in the Philippines and the
Caribbean and a multitude of invasions in Central America.
Nationalist
liberation movements, based on liberal, nationalist and socialist
leaders and programs, drawing on returning soldiers, weakened colonial
control and post-war European anti-fascist and anti-war sentiments, led
to the dismantling of their military-based empires. Internal
reconstruction and domestic working class radicalism influenced the
agenda for most European colonial powers. The attempts by the European
powers to re-impose their colonial empires failed despite bloody wars
in Indo-China, Kenya, Algeria, Malaya and elsewhere. The French,
English and Israeli invasion and occupation of the Egyptian Suez (1956)
marked the last major attempt at military-driven imperialism.
The
US opposition to this effort at European re-colonization marked the
supremacy of US-centered empire building and, paradoxically, the
beginning of US military-driven empire building. The European powers,
especially Great Britain, engineered a strategic shift from a
colonial-military empire toward market-driven empires based on
supporting pro-capitalist nationalist against socialist revolutionaries
(India, Malaysia, Singapore, etc.). While Europe transited to the
market-driven empire building model based first and foremost on the
reconstruction of their war-torn domestic capitalist economy, the US
quickly moved toward a military based empire building approach. The US
established military bases throughout Europe, militarily intervened in
Greece, elaborated a complex and comprehensive military buildup to
challenge Soviet spheres of influence in Eastern Europe and intervened
in the Chinese and especially the Korean and Vietnamese civil wars.
Immediate Post-WWII: The Combination of Market and Military Roads to Empire
Because
the US economy and military came out of the victory during WWII with
enormous resources far surpassing any other country or group of
countries, it was able to pursue a dual approach to empire building,
engaging in military and economic expansion. The US dominated over 50%
of world trade and had the greatest surplus public and private capital
to invest overseas. The US possessed technological and productivity
advantages to promote free trade among its would-be competitors and
to increase domestic living standards.
These advantageous
circumstances, directly related and limited to the first decade of the
post-WWII period, became embedded in the practice and strategic
thinking of US policymakers, Congress, the Executive branch and both
major parties. The conjunctural world superiority generated a
plethora of elite ideologies and a mass mind set in which the US was
seen to be by nature, by divine will, destined by history and its
values, by its superior education, technology and productivity to
rule over the world. The specific economic and political conditions of
the decade (1945-1955) were frozen into an unquestioned dogma, which
denied the dynamics of changing market, productive and political
relations that gradually eroded the original bases of the ideology.
Divergence in the World Economy: US-Europe-Japan
Beginning
with the massive military buildup with the Cold War and the
subsequent hot war in Korea, the US allocated a far greater percentage
of its budget and GNP to war and military empire building than Western
Europe or Japan.
By the mid-1950s, while the US vastly
expanded its state military apparatus (armed forces, intelligence
agencies and clandestine armies), Western Europe and Japan expanded and
built up their state economic agencies, public enterprises, investment
and loan programs for the private sector. Even more significantly, US
military spending and purchases stimulated Japanese and European
industries. Equally important state-private procurement policies
subsidized US industrial inefficiency via cost over-runs,
non-competitive bidding and military-industrial monopolies.
US
empire building via projections of military power absorbed hundreds of
billions of dollars in government expenditures in regions and countries
with low economic payoffs in the Caribbean, Central American, Asia and
Africa.
While military-driven empire building did increase short
term domestic growth and rising income, and led to some important
civilian spin-offs and technological breakthroughs that entered the
civilian economy, European and Japanese market-based empire building
moved with greater dynamism from domestic to export led growth and
began to challenge US predominance in a multiplicity of productive
sectors.
The US prolonged and costly war against Indo-China
(roughly 1954-74) epitomized the replacement of European
colonial-military empire building by the US version. The hundreds of
billions of dollars in US government war spending spilled over into
Japanese and South Korean high-growth manufacturing industries. Western
European manufacturing achieved productivity gains and export markets
in former African and Asian colonial nations, while the US Empires
murderous wars in South East Asia discredited it and its products
throughout the world. Domestic unrest, widespread civilian protests and
military demoralization further weakened the US capacity to pursue its
imperial agenda and defend strategic collaborating regimes in key
regions.
The relative decline of US manufacturing exports was
accompanied by the massive growth of US public debt, which in turn
stimulated the vast expansion of the financial sector which then shaped
regional and national policy toward de-industrializing central cities
and converting them into a finance-real estate and insurance
monoculture.
The contrasting and divergent roads to empire
building between the US on the one hand and Europe and Japan on the
other, deepened with the advent of the Second Cold War under the
Carter-Reagan years. While the US spent billions in proxy wars in
Southern Africa (Angola and Mozambique), Latin America (Nicaragua,
Chile, El Salvador and Guatemala) and Asia (Afghanistan), the Europeans
were expanding economically into Eastern Europe, China, Latin America
and the Middle East. Even at the moment of greatest imperial success,
the overthrow of Communism in the USSR and East Europe and Chinas
transition to capitalism, the US militarily driven empire failed to
reap the benefits: Under Clinton the US promoted the raw pillage of the
Russian economy and destruction of the state (civilian and military),
market and scientific base rather than stabilize and jointly exploit
its existing markets and human and material resources. The US spent
billions undermining Communism, but the Europeans, primarily Germany,
and to a much lesser degree France, England and Japan, were the prime
beneficiaries in terms of securing the most productive industries and
employing the better part of the skilled labor and engineers in the
former Soviet bloc. By the end of the Clinton era and the bursting of
the information technology speculative bubble, the European Union
eclipsed the US in GNP, outperformed the US in accumulating trade
surpluses and foreign debt management.
Market Versus Military Empire Building in the 1990s
During
the Bush-Clinton years, US military-driven empire-building vastly
expanded its commitments in financing and providing troops into the
Balkan and Iraq wars, military entry into Somalia, the bombing of the
Sudan, the increased subsidy of Israels colonial wars, the Afghan
wars, Colombias counter-insurgency and to a lesser extent the
Philippines counter-insurgency and counter-separatist wars. While the
US spent billions to prop up a gangster-ridden and corrupt KLA regime
in Kosova in order to spend billions more in building a huge military
base, Germany was reaping the economic benefits of its economic
hegemony in the relatively prosperous regimes of Croatia, Slovenia and
the Czech Republic. While the US spent hundreds of billions in the
First and Second Gulf Wars, China, the new emerging market-driven
empire builder, was looking to sign lucrative oil and gas contracts in
the Middle East, especially with Iran. While the US was backing an
unpopular minority regime backed by its client Ethiopian military force
in Somalia, China was signing major oil contracts in Sudan, Angola and
Nigeria and even in Northern Somalia (Puntland). While the US
military-centered empire-building state was giving away over $3 billion
in military aid (plus transferring its most up-to-date military
technology to competitor firms) per year to Israel, European, Asian and
Latin American private and public enterprises were signing long-term
lucrative contracts with the Gulf oil states as well as with Iran.
A
clear sign of the long-term economic decay of the US global competitive
position between 2002-2008 is evidenced by the fact that a 40%
depreciation of the dollar has failed to substantially improve the US
balance of payments, let alone produce a trade surplus. Despite the
handicap of appreciating currencies, China, Germany and Japan continued
to accumulate trade surpluses, especially with the US. While the US
spent hundreds of billions in Asian wars, CIA propaganda and subversive
operations in the former USSR, Eastern Europe, the Baltic States, the
Caribbean (Cuba/Venezuela) and the Caucuses, the principle
beneficiaries were the revitalized European market-driven
empire-builders and the newly emerging market empire builders.
While
the US spends enormous sums in building new military bases surrounding
Russia, including new offensive operations in Kosova, Poland and the
Czech Republic, with new preparations for NATO bases in Georgia and the
Ukraine, Russian, Chinese and European capital expands buying out or
investing in privatized and public-private strategic mining, petrol and
manufacturing enterprises in Africa, Latin America, Australia and the
Gulf.
While China harnesses foreign capital, including major US
MNCs to make itself the manufacturing workshop of the world, Germany
with its high precision heavy manufacturers are prospering by
constructing the workshops for the Chinese. US manufacturers and
productive capital flee to state-subsidized (via tax reductions and low
interest rates) financial, real estate and speculative sectors, and go
overseas to avoid high rent and fringe payments to US labor. The
resulting decline of the domestic market and a shrinking base of
industrially trained labor reinforce the overseas and speculative
movements on US capital. These capitalist structural changes undermined
the economic fundamentals underlying the financial sector.
The
deterioration of the US economy became apparent as the speculative
paper pyramid (sub-prime and credit crises) collapsed during the
2007-08 recession. The recycling of multiple layers of exotic
financial instruments each more precarious than the other, each more
divorced from any tangible productive unit in the real economy
characterized this period. Their predictable collapse dragged the US
into recession. Even among the big banks and financial houses there is
no knowledge of the real value of the paper being traded or of the
material collateral (housing and commercial property being held). The
fictitious economy revolves around unloading the devalued paper, to
cover costs and lessen losses
and let the next holder of the paper face
the risks and uncertainties. As a result there is a total lack of
confidence in the market because the objects up for sale have become
so lacking of value, i.e. so intangible and unrelated to the real
economy.
The decline of the real producer basis of goods and
social services and the predominance of the paper economy accentuated
the divergence between military-directed empire building and the global
economic interests of the US. The paper economy is not directly
influenced by imperialist militarism, as is the case with US MNCs with
physical assets at risk from imperial wars, armed resistance, the
disruption of trade routes, the destruction of overseas markets and the
disarticulation of access to minerals and energy sources.
The
ascendancy of speculative finance capital coincides with the greater
autonomy of the militarist empire builders over and against the
residual influence of American manufacturing and commercial interests
supporting market imperialism. The extraordinary role that the
pro-Israel power bloc plays in shaping a bellicose Middle East foreign
policy over and above what US oil companies looking to sign contracts
with Arab countries exercised, can only be understood within the large
upsurge of militarist driven imperial policy.
Washingtons
unconditional support of Israels militarist colonial regime reflects
two important structural changes in US empire building. One is the
extraordinary organization and influence of the principle pro-Israel
Jewish organization over local, regional, national legislative and
executive bodies and in the mass media and financial institutions.
The
second change is the rise of a political class of executive and
legislative militarist policy-makers, which has an affinity with
Israeli colonialism and its offensive military strategy. Israel is one
of the few if not only military-driven emerging imperial powers
and that is part of the reason for the resonance between Jewish
leaders in Israel and Washington policy-makers.
This is the real basis
of the often stated and affirmed common interests and values between
the two countries. Military-driven imperial powers, like the US and
Israel, do not share democratic values as even the most superficial
observer of their savage repression of their conquered peoples and
nations (Iraq and Palestine) can attest they share the military route
to empire-building.
Historic Comparison of Market and Military Driven Imperialism
A
rational cost efficient evaluation of the US major and minor military
invasions demonstrates the high economic cost and low economic benefits
to both the capitalist system as a whole and even to many key economic
enterprises.
The US blockade and subsequent war with Japan
ultimately unleashed the Asian national liberation movements, which
undercut European, and US colonial-style military imperialism. The
Korean War ignited the massive re-industrialization of Japan and
created optimal conditions for Koreas model of protectionism at home
and free trade with the US (so-called Asian state-led export model).
The result was the creation of two major manufacturing rivals to the US
economic expansion in Asia, North America and later in the rest of the
world.
The US invasion, colonial occupation and imperial war
in Indochina and its subsequent defeat severely weakened the military
capacity to subsequently defend global imperial interests and client
states in Southern Africa, Iran and Nicaragua. More to the point, by
concentrating resources on war-making the US lost markets to the
emerging market empire-builders and diverted capital from increasing
the productivity and productive forces which create market dominance.
In
the broader picture, military and market driven imperialism, which
coexisted and seemed to complement each other diverged in the period
between 1963-1973, with the militarist faction gaining supremacy in
directing US empire-building. The divergence was papered over by
several instances of complementary activity such as the overthrow of
President Allende in Chile on behalf of US MNCs and similar earlier
cases as in Guatemala (1954), Iran (1953) and in other countries where
quick imperial victories over smaller countries did not seem to carry
any significant economic or political costs.
The ascendancy of
Reagan and the negative long-term economic impact of new arms buildup
were obscured by the break-up of the Communist system and the Chinese
and Vietnamese transitions to capitalism. The windfall gains to US
economic interests in the former European communist countries,
especially Russia, were largely based on pillaging existing resources
in alliance with gangster-capitalists. Long-term, large-scale benefits
were not due to US capitalist taking over and developing the forces of
production and developing the internal markets of the ex-communist
countries. The political and military gains that accrued to US military
empire building obscured the continued loss of economic power in the
world marketplace to the market-driven imperial powers. Moreover, China
unleashed a large-scale, long-term process of dynamic capital
accumulation, which in less than two decades displaced the US from
manufacturing markets and challenged its access to energy markets.
In
other words favorable resolution of the US-Soviet conflict led to their
mutual economic decline. What is worse from a practical historical
perspective, the military-driven empire builders saw their victory
over Communism as vindication and license to escalate their militarist
approach to empire building. According to this line of argument, the
Soviets fell because of military pressure, backed by ideological
warfare. Moreover in the absence of a countervailing military pole, the
Bush-Clinton-Bush Presidencies saw an open field for pursuing the
military road to empire building.
From the Gulf, to the Gulf and Back to the Gulf : 1990-2008 (and beyond)
The
first Bush Presidency assumed the military road to empire building but
tried to avoid the high costs of occupation and colonization. The
Israeli colonial model had to await the Zionist occupation of
policy-making positions in later administrations. The first Iraq War
was intended to project US imperial military power, secure US economic
interests among the Gulf oil states (Kuwait and Saudi Arabia) as well
as expand Israeli influence in the Middle East. Most of all it was seen
as the launching of a New World Order; centered in US world supremacy,
supported by docile allies and financed by rich Arab oil states.
Shortly
after the Gulf War, the triple alliance, which emerged during the war,
collapsed as Europe pursued its own market-driven empire in competition
with the US, Saudi Arabia paid some of the US military expenditures and
then abruptly ended its funding, and domestic opposition grew as the
electorate demanded less imperial expenditures and the re-building of
the domestic economy.
Military-Driven Empire-Building (MDE) and Zionism
The
Zionist Power Configuration in the United States successfully secured
from the White House and Congress massive sustained multi-billion
dollar military and economic grant and aid packages for Israel
throughout the 1980s ensuring Israels military superiority in the
Middle East. Yet both Presidents Reagan and Bush (father) tried to
maintain a balance between the interests of major US oil
multi-nationals working with Arab regimes on the one hand and on the
other Israeli and Washingtons military-driven empire building (MEB).
Bush
Seniors attack of Iraq in the First Gulf War, greatly reduced
Baghdads military capability but he refrained from destroying its
armed forces or overthrowing Saddam Hussein as Israel and the ZPC were
demanding at the time. Above all Bush did not want to destabilize the
region for US oil deals in the Gulf, even as he imposed a US military
presence to ensure dominance.
With the election of Clinton and
the Democratic-controlled Congress, the MDE and the ZPC gained
strategic positions in the elaboration and implementation of foreign
policy. Madeleine Albright, Sandy Berger, Dennis Ross, Cohen, and
Martin Indyk and an army of lesser known functionaries, militarists and
Zionists launched a series of wars, military attacks and severe
sanctions against Yugoslavia, Somalia, Sudan and Iraq. They devastated
their population (over 500,000 children died in Iraq as a direct result
of US starvation sanctions), destroyed their national productive
facilities and, intentionally disarticulated and fragmented their
nations into violent ethno-tribal and religious mini-states. While
Clinton embraced the military road to empire building, he was also
totally committed to the financial sector of the US economy (in
particular, the most speculative activities) by de-regulating all
controls, oversight and constraints on hedge funds, investment banks
and equity houses. Under the tutelage of the Chairman of the Federal
Reserve Bank, the pro-Israel Alan Greenspan, the Clinton regime became
the launching pad for the full conversion of the US into a
speculation-driven economy, culminating in the dot-com bubble which
burst in 2000-2001, and the massive Enron and World Com swindles
leading up to the current financial meltdown of 2006-2008.
While
the MDE gained a dominant role, the ascendance of speculative capital
marginalized and eroded the political influence and economic weight of
productive capital, forcing it overseas and/or to transfer funds into
the financial-speculative sector. The socio-economic basis of
market-driven empire-building (MDEB) was weakened relative to the
militarists and the ZPC in setting the US foreign policy agenda. This
new power configuration opened the door for the total takeover by these
same forces during the 8 years of Bush (Junior)s presidency. The
latter quickly eliminated any residual influence of the market-driven
imperialists, forcing the resignation of his first Treasury Secretary
ONeal and others. Even hybrid market-militarists like Colin Powell who
went along with the global war strategy but raised tactical questions
were subsequently forced into retirement.
MDE were in total
control of the government in all spheres, from the elaboration of war
propaganda, the build-up of a global network of terror and
assassination teams, to colonial wars and the systematic use of torture
abroad and the savaging of elementary freedoms at home. Within the MDE,
the ZPC gained dominance, especially in the formulation and the
implementation of total war strategies in Iraq and the unconditional
backing of Israels genocidal politics in Gaza and the West Bank. Every
sector of the government was geared to war, bellicose action and
especially to subordinating economic policies to military practices
informed by the military-driven Israeli colonization.
The
convergence of policy and practice between the MDE and the ZPC within
the highest levels of government and their mutual reinforcement, gave
US foreign policy its extremist military character. Zionist cultural
and media power provided an army of academic and journalistic
ideologues and mass media platforms which the MDE previously lacked
and amplified their message. The linking of traditional US MDE and the
emerging power of the Israeli-ZPC buttressed the spread of
authoritarian controls and harsh and widespread censorship over any
politician, intellectual or media critic of Israel and its
unconditional supporters in the ZPC.
The joint forces of the MDE
and ZPC have reshaped the US military command to serve their plans for
new major wars against Iran and the prolongation and extension of
wars against Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, Lebanon and elsewhere. The MDE
have failed to pursue the free trade openings in Latin America, Asia
and the Middle East leaving the field wide open for entirely new
trading and investment networks involving China, Europe, Japan, India,
Russia and the Middle Eastern sovereign funds. Even with the onset of
the recession in the US and the meltdown of the financial markets, the
militarists have refused to change or alter their stranglehold on the
budget and foreign policy, causing the government to resort to printing
currency to finance the bailout of speculators and their investment
banks.
Imperial Wars, Social Revolutions and Capitalist Restorations
The
historical record demonstrates that imperial wars destroy the
productive forces and social networks of targeted countries. In
contrast, market-driven economic empire building gains hegemony via
collaboration with local political and economic elites, taking control
of strategic industries, minerals and energy via direct investments and
loans, privatizations and denationalization, and favorable trade and
monetary agreements. Market-driven empire building takes over, it does
not destroy the productive forces; it does not demolish the social
fabric, it reconstructs or adjusts it to accommodate its accumulation
needs.
The evolution of social revolutionary regimes in a post
liberation period shows a common pattern reflecting the
political-economic external constraints imposed by military
imperialism. The revolutionary regimes expropriate and nationalize the
major means of production, control foreign trade and organize the
planning of the economy. They eliminate foreign control over strategic
economic sectors, centralize political and economic control as well as
redistribute land and income. In many cases these radical measures were
imposed upon the revolutionary governments by imperial economic
boycotts, the flight of capitalist and landlords, the non-cooperation
of managers and technicians and by the necessity of reconstruction in
the face of large-scale destruction. The US embargo and similar
constraints on external financial aid have forced revolutionary
governments to rely on the rationing of scarce resources for priority
public projects, limiting its capacity to increase individual
consumption.
As a result, the post-revolutionary regimes were
forced to deal with market-driven empire builders. They contracted
large-scale short-term and long-term trade agreements, joint investment
ventures through equitable profit sharing agreements and a broad range
of technological contracts involving royalty payments. In other words,
given the unfavorable position of the revolutionary economy in the
world market and the low level of development of the forces of
production, the market-driven empire building countries were in a
position to secure lucrative economic opportunities. In contrast, the
military driven empire attempted to inflict maximum economic damage to
compensate for its military defeat.
The revolutionary regimes
under Communist leadership featured characteristics, which foreshadowed
positive future relations with market-driven imperial countries. Their
vertical leadership and concentrated political power facilitated quick
and relatively easy changes from collectivist to neo-liberal policies,
while hindering the democratic mechanisms, which might have corrected
erroneous and harmful economic decisions. Secondly, unchecked power at
the top in a time of scarcity led to the conversion of power into
privilege, corruption and social inequalities. These developments
created a wealthy nepotistic elite with an interest in deepening ties
with their capitalist counterparts from the imperial states. These
internal changes coincided with the interests of market-driven
capitalists willing to establish lucrative beach heads and relations
with elite groups in the post-revolutionary society and state.
Market-driven empire builders were attracted to the tight controls
exercised over labor and the lack of competition from other
military-driven imperial states.
Post-revolutionary economies
continued to be embedded in the world capitalist marketplace and
subject to its competitive demands. In the best of circumstances, even
with a democratic and socially egalitarian leadership and relatively
favorable world commodity prices, the revolutionary regime would need
to balance the social demands of a socialist domestic economy (with
demands for increases in income, social services and workplace
improvement and consumer goods) and the world market demands for
greater efficiency, increased capital investments, rising productivity
and labor discipline. Given the built-in biases toward political and
military security embedded in the bureaucratic centralist structures,
it was not surprising that production would stagnate. The constraints
and the centralized elites inability to micro-manage the economy
beyond the period of reconstruction was one reason for stagnation. The
other was that the regime would prefer a hierarchical organized
capitalist structure (over any democratic changes from below), which
would not challenge, but rather strengthen, the communist elites
position in a new eclectic system.
In other words there would
be a dual transition from imperial-dominated extractive capitalism to
centralized socialism which would entail a period of reconstruction and
national unification with an organized and disciplined labor force.
This would be followed by a transition to a centralized mixed state
capitalist economy, increasingly penetrated by market-driven imperial
capital.
Was Socialism a Detour to Capitalism? Were Imperial Wars Necessary for Capitalist Expansion?
The
historical record documents the continued growth and expansion of
market-driven empire building throughout the post World War II period,
without wars, significant military intervention, boycotts, embargos or
other offensive belligerent actions. The expansion took place in the
context of non-revolutionary, revolutionary and post-revolutionary
regimes. Germanys market-driven empire builders traded with the
Communist East, China and Russia before, during and after the fall of
Communism, accumulating huge trade and productive advantages over the
US. The same occurred with Japan with regard to China and other Asian
communist countries.
The market imperialists did not depend, as
some apologists for military imperialists argue on the protective
umbrella of US militarism, but on their superior position in the world
market and the greater development of the forces of production, which
allowed them to enter and secure favorable and lucrative economic
positions.
In contrast, the US empire builders, who started the
post-war 1945-50 period in a uniquely favorable position in the world
market, wasted their massive economic resources in funding wars against
successful revolutions - China, Korea, Indochina, Cuba, and now in
prolonged colonial wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Billions more have
been spent in numerous surrogate wars in Angola, Nicaragua, Guatemala
and Chile with no economic payoffs for US MNCs over and against its
European and Asian competition. The US imperial wars failed to enhance
its economic empire. US Empire builders shifted massive resources away
from producing goods for the international market and upgrading their
industrial productivity in order to retain world and domestic market
shares to its monstrous and wasteful military budgets. The result has
been a steady decline of the US economic empire relative to its
competitor market-driven empires. Ironically, when the centralized
collectivist regimes eventually made the transition toward capitalism,
it was because of their inner social and economic contradictions and
not because of US military policies. The restoration of capitalism had
little to do with the hundreds of billions of dollars in US military
spending.
In contrast, the market-driven empires from the end
of the 1940s benefited from US imperial wars, by securing lucrative US
military contracts and were able to concentrate their state
expenditures and investment policies on securing overseas markets. They
were in an ideal position to reap the benefits resulting from the
socialist regimes transition to capitalism.
Given the emergence
of post-Communist political and social ruling elites who blindly
adhered to free market dogma with their corrupt, authoritarian and
privileged political practices, in retrospect socialism did appear as
a detour to capitalist restoration. However the structural changes of
some communist political elites, especially in China and Vietnam,
created the essential foundations for a capitalist take-off. They
unified the country, educated and trained a healthy, disciplined
work-force, launched basic industries, eliminated war lords and local
ethnic fiefdoms. Subsequently Communist liberalization opened the door
to the peaceful economic invasion of market-driven imperialism,
safeguarded by a strong centralized state limiting any working class or
nationalist opposition or protest. The Communist elites established a
framework ideal for subsequent imperialist reentry and expansion.
The
historical record makes it clear that imperial wars were not necessary
for economic expansion. Empire-driven militarism thoroughly undermined
the US long-term competitive position. If the driving force of empire
building is economic conquest, then market-driven empires are far
superior to military-driven empires. The goal of colonial political
dominance, pursued by military-driven imperialists, is in the modern
period, a chimera, as demonstrated by a history of political defeats in
Asia, Africa, Latin America and now in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Military-Driven Imperialism Today and the Newly Emerging Imperial Powers
One
might conclude that the US imperial leadership would have learned the
lessons of failed military-driven empire building from the their
experience over the past 50 years. But as we pointed out earlier, the
internal structural dynamics of the US economy and the reconfiguration
of the political elite directing the political system have led in the
opposite direction. The 21st century has witnessed the ascendancy of
the most zealous exponents of military-driven empire building in the
entire post-World War II period. An overview of US imperial policy
shows the proliferation and intensification of direct wars, surrogate
wars, military confrontations in which the US favors militarist allies
over countries with lucrative markets and profitable investment
opportunities in natural resources.
Market-Driven Versus Militarist Alliances
The
militarist and Zionist takeover of US empire building in the 21st
century is manifested in their strategic decisions, alliances and
priorities, each and everyone of which is diametrically opposed to
market-based empire building and ultimately doomed to further erode the
position of the US empire.
The newly emerging empire building
states (like China), rely almost exclusively on market-driven
strategies designed by political elites linked to industrialists and
technocrats. They are quickly dominating manufacturing markets,
accessing strategic raw materials and securing long-term trade
agreements at the expense of the increasingly militarist, but
internally deteriorating US empire. Near the end of the first decade of
the 21st century, the imperial policies of the US militarists and
Zionists have demonstrated their willingness to make deep sacrifices in
market growth by choosing to align the US with costly and dubious
militarist regimes in all regions of the world, beginning with the US
alliance with Israel.
In the Middle East, unlike market-driven
empire builders, the US militarists and Zionists have invaded Iraq and
Afghanistan, destroying many lucrative oil deals and joint ventures and
leading to the quadrupling the world price of oil. Instead they have
invested (and lost) over a trillion dollars in non-productive,
non-economic, military activity. Militarist imperialism has weakened
the entire economic fabric of the US Empire without any compensatory
gains on the military side.
The prolonged war in Iraq (6 years and
running) has demoralized the US ground troops and weakened US military
capability to engage in any third front in which the US has important
economic interests. US liberal market-driven imperialists describe this
as imperial overstretch. While the US invests in non-productive and
unsuccessful military conquests, profoundly indebting the domestic
economy, China, India, Korea, Russia, Europe, the Middle East and even
Latin America pile up trade surpluses while expanding their economic
empires via private and sovereign investments.
Largely because
of the political fusion and strategic convergence of interests between
militarists and Zionists, the US empire builders choose to sacrifice
lucrative ties to the richest markets among the Gulf State in the
Middle East and among predominantly Muslim countries in order to favor
Israel, a resource-poor militarist-colonial state with a third rate
market for goods and investments. US militarists have subjected
Americas empire building to strategies in the Middle East, which
mostly favor Israels colonial and regional hegemonic drive. This
places the US on a direct confrontational path with Lebanon, Syria,
Iran and even the Gulf States who feel threatened by Israels constant
resort to offensive military power to attack its neighbors.
No Arab oil
country, no matter how conservative and pro-capitalist, can afford to
open its economy to the US, if it believes that Washington will
subordinate it to the vision of a militarist Israel-US dominated sphere
of influence. By unconditionally backing Israels colonial and
hegemonic interests, American militarists have gained a strategic
domestic political ally (the Zionist Power Configuration) but it has
come at an enormous cost to US economic empire building. Moreover the
Israeli state has run the biggest and most aggressive espionage
operations in the US of any country since the fall of the USSR, thus
calling into question its security benefits. The multiplicity of
enemies resulting from Israels racist-colonialist policies ensures
that the US will be engaged in decades of war, or as long as the US
taxpayers can sustain the demands of the military empire.
Military-driven
empire building is manifested not only in the Middle East but
throughout the world. In Africa, the US backs the Ethiopian military
regime and its weak and isolated puppet regime in Somalia against an
Islamist-secular nationalist coalition representing the majority of
Somalis. Washington and Israel finance and arm the Sudanese separatists
in Darfur against the oil-rich central Sudanese government. In both
Somalia and Sudan, China and other emerging imperial powers have
secured access to strategic oil rich sites.
While the US spends
billions of dollars on endless wars, propaganda campaigns and
sanctions, China reaps hundreds of millions in profits. While the US
financed African wars destroy the entire fabric of production and
society in Somalia, militarizing impoverished Ethiopia, the Chinese
build roads and infrastructure to facilitate exports in both the Sudan
and Northern Somalia. Pentagon-directed colonial wars in Africa,
conducted by surrogates, undermine the political support of economic
collaborators while the market-driven empires enhance their ties with
local economic elites and political rulers.
In Latin America,
the US military imperialists have so far contributed $6 billion dollars
in military aid to Colombias militarist regime during the 21st
century, destroying the entire social fabric in the rural areas, while
the rest of Latin America expanded their ties with Europe, Asia and the
Middle East. Washington has spent hundreds of millions of dollars in
failed efforts to destabilize Venezuelas nationalist-democratic Chavez
Government. As a result US capitalists have lost out on billions of
dollars in investments and trading contracts in Venezuela to China,
Russia, Brazil, Argentina and Iran. By making Colombia the centerpiece
of their South American policy, US militarist empire builders have lost
out on the enormously lucrative economic opportunities accompanying the
commodity price boom in Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador and Bolivia.
In
Asia, despite the deepening US economic dependence on China to sustain
to the rapidly depreciating US dollar (China holds $1.5 trillion
dollars in foreign reserves which has lost 60% of its value since
2002), the US militarists still engage in sustained anti-Chinese
propaganda campaigns and highly provocative incidents. The US-backed
violent protests against the Chinese presence in Tibet fomented by the
Dalai Lama and CIA-funded exile organizations is only the more recent
example. American Zionists have directed a political campaign against
the expansion of Chinese investments and contracts (market-driven
imperialism) in the Sudan. The Zionist role in the so-called Darfur
campaign is based on Sudans support for the Palestinians and
opposition to Israels genocidal policy in Gaza.
China has so
far generally overlooked US military provocations such as the shooting
down of a Chinese fighter plane, spy flights over Chinese offshore
territory, the deliberate bombing of its embassy in Belgrade and the
sale of advanced missiles to Taiwan. The US financing of the separatist
demonstrations among Tibetan exiles is designed to tarnish Chinas
image in the lead up to its hosting the 2008 Summer Olympics. Chinas
market-driven empire builders ignore US military provocations because
they had little effect on Chinese overseas and domestic economic
expansion. Nevertheless China has increased spending on modernizing its
military defense capabilities. More significantly, as the US economy
declines and enters a deep recession in 2008, and as the dollar
continues to fall ($1.60 to 1 Euro as of May 2008), China has turned
toward the Asian, European, Middle Eastern markets.
Asian markets now
account for 50% of world trade growth as of 2008. In 2007 China
increased production and the development of its market to sustain
growth rates at least five times higher than the militarist-dominated
US Empire. Even more significant, the great majority of Chinese
exporters (over 800,000) have shifted payments to Euros, Yen, Pounds
Sterling and the Renminbi in its trading with non-US trading partners.
Russia,
shaking off the shackles of Clinton-backed pillage during the gangster
capitalism of the Yeltsin years in the 1990s, has taken off during the
21st century under the leadership of President Putin. US
military-driven empire builders were able to integrate and subordinate
all the former members of the Russia-centered Warsaw Pact into the
US-dominated NATO. In the 21st Century, the Russian economy has
expanded rapidly between 6% and 8%, established majority control over
strategic resources and has sought to lessen its vulnerability to US
military encirclement. While Germany, Italy and most of the major Asian
trading countries (China, India and Japan) have obtained lucrative
trading and investment agreements with Russia, the US militarists have
concentrated on military encroachment along Russias European and Asian
borders.
The US is pushing to incorporate Ukraine and Georgia into
NATO, and preparing to station offensive, so-called missile shields
in Poland and the Czech Republic on the absurd pretext that such highly
sophisticated installations are intended to protect Western Europe from
attacks by distant Iran rather than target Moscow, just 5 minutes away
by missile attack.
Conclusion
US military-driven empire
building has made costly military alliances with peripheral countries
at a catastrophic economic cost. The persistence of militarist empire
builders has systematically undercut market-driven empire building and
has pushed the domestic US economy to near bankruptcy. The twin motors
of the contemporary empire and domestic economy, speculative finance
and militarism, have driven the US economy backwards at the same time
that established and emerging imperial competitors are advancing.
Comparative
historical data covering the entire half-century to the present
demonstrates that European, Japanese and now China and Indias
market-driven expansion has been far more successful in securing market
shares, developing the productive forces and accessing strategic raw
materials than US military empire building.
Market-driven empire
building has both resulted from and created a strong civil society in
which socio-economic priorities take precedent in defining domestic and
foreign economic policy over military priorities and definitions of
international reality. US empire builders, academics and political
advisers have interpreted, what they call the rise of US global power
its victory in the Cold War and the decline of Communism as a
vindication of military-driven empire building. They have ignored the
rise of capitalist competitors and the relative and absolute decline of
the US as an economic power. It can be argued that the newly emerging
market-driven former Communist countries (like China and Russia)
represent a greater global challenge to the US Empire than the previous
stagnant bureaucratic Communist regimes.
Militarism is deeply
embedded in the structure, ideology and policies of the entire US
governing class, its political parties, the executive and legislative
branches, the judiciary and the armed forces. Over the same
half-century countervailing market-driven empire builders have declined
as a defining force in the formulation of foreign policy in the US. The
growing encroachment of the militant Zionist power configuration within
the policy-making directorate has been greatly facilitated by the
ascendancy of militarism and the relative decline of economic-empire
building.
The long period of incremental decline of US economic
empire building and the trillions of dollars wasted by military-driven
empire building has come to a climax. In the new millennium with the
profound devaluation of the imperial currency (the dollar), the huge
indebtedness and loss of markets Washington is totally dependent on the
good will of its commercial partners to keep accepting constantly
devalued dollars in exchange for essential commodities.
The
immediate outcome is likely to be a major domestic crisis, which could
be accompanied by one more desperate and futile military attack on Iran
and/or Venezuela or a forced confrontation with China and/or Russia.
Desperate acts of declining military empires have historically
accelerated the demise of imperial rulers.
Out of the debris
of failed empires two possible outcomes could emerge. A new rabidly
nationalist authoritarian regime or the re-birth of a republic based on
the reconstruction of a productive economy centered on the domestic
market and social priorities, free from foreign entanglements and power
configurations whose only purpose is to subordinate the republic to
overseas colonial ambitions.
The dismantling of the military
driven empire will not occur by choice but by imposed circumstances,
including the incapacity of domestic institutions to continue to
finance it. The demise of the militarist governing class will follow
the collapse of their domestic economic foundations. The result could
be a withered empire, or a democratic republic. When and how a new
political leadership will emerge will depend on the nature of the
social configurations, which undertake the reconstruction of US society.
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