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The Third Tier Candidates: Why Vote for Dennis Kucinich?
by Jack Random
The politics of pragmatism has become so prevalent in mainstream politics that the independent left has gone into overdrive to disown the concept.
Spitting in the wind of conventional wisdom historically, a noble endeavor it has become a progressive badge of honor to have opposed Democrat John Kerry in the 2004 election.
There are many reasons for progressives and independents to hold disdain for the Kerry campaign but few among us would argue that the nation is better off because Kerry was not elected or rather that his electoral victory was undone by subterfuge in Ohio.
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We are understandably tired of the politics of pragmatism and we
are sickened by the approach of Democratic front-runner Hillary
Clinton: You may not like what I stand for but I can win in the
general election. (No, Hillary, we do not like what you stand for and
we do not believe that Republican light can defeat Republican heavy in
the general election.)
Nevertheless, it is futile and
self-defeating to pretend that pragmatism has no role in politics and
until we recognize that cold but simple reality, we will continue to be
marginalized in the political process. Politics without pragmatism is
intellectual masturbation. Like the deaf activist who desires a child
without hearing, disdain for pragmatism can go too far.
As an
advocate of the independence movement, I have pleaded with the
progressive community to engage the electoral battlefield with a
realistic strategy. Teaming with libertarians, I have proposed a
national organization, pooling resources and targeting winnable
elections at the local and congressional levels. Successful candidates
could then make legitimate runs at governorships and senate seats,
culminating in a third party run at the White House.
Unfortunately,
with the exception of Cindy Sheehans challenge of Speaker Nancy
Pelosi, I see few signs that a practical independence movement is
emerging. Maybe none among us have the time and/or resources for such
an all-consuming endeavor.
In the absence of such a movement,
we must offer pragmatic reasons to vote for candidates whose chances of
winning are less than realistic. No matter what your political
persuasion, there may be compelling reasons to cast your vote for
someone other than the leaders particularly in the primary season.
In
the current presidential campaign, why should anyone vote for a third
tier candidate such as Dennis Kucinich, Ron Paul, Mike Gravel, Tony
Tancredo or Duncan Hunter?
Fundamentally, the reason to vote for
any of these candidates is to inform the upper tier candidates and the
eventual nominees where their policies must be directed to pick up
additional votes.
THE ANTIWAR VOTE: KUCINICH, PAUL AND GRAVEL
The
singular blessing of this primary season is that all voters will have
an opportunity to register their opposition to the Iraq War and, of
equal importance, the continuing occupation and possible expansion of
the war to Iran and Syria.
As much as progressives would like
to imagine a Kucinich presidency, the greater truth is that the Ohio
Congressman is not running for president. He is using the presidential
campaign as a platform of protest. As a progressive, I support his
positions on virtually all issues. I would be even more supportive if
he abandoned the party of complicity and ran as an independent but the
fact is he would receive no media attention if he did.
A vote for Kucinich is the purest progressive vote of protest against the war in Iraq and the Bush-Clinton foreign policy.
Representative
Ron Paul is the only remotely antiwar Republican. Left leaning
supporters will be stunned by some of Pauls positions: He is a
radical proponent of Free Trade, objecting to NAFTA-CAFTA and the WTO
as not free trade enough. His particular brand of libertarianism
advocates states rights on abortion, education, the death penalty, the
drug war, medical care and environmental protection.
Frankly,
Ron Paul is not libertarian enough for my taste but he appeals to a
wide range of Republicans that remember the libertarian ideal. Paul is
a potent antiwar, anti-government vote of protest whose ability to
raise money has already shocked the political mainstream.
As a
former United States Senator, Mike Gravel is technically a more
legitimate candidate for the White House than Kucinich or Paul. His
positions run parallel to Kucinich but his accusations of systematic
corruption cut more to the core. Moreover, Gravel is singularly
outspoken in criticism of Israel on the Palestinian issue.
The
combined total of votes for Kucinich, Paul and Gravel will represent
the leverage of the antiwar voter. If the tally is less than five
percent, the war will cease to be a major issue. If the tally is
greater than ten percent, the pressure will mount on leading Democrats
to strengthen their stands against the war.
THE ANTI-IMMIGRANT VOTE: TANCREDO AND HUNTER
Representative
Tom Tancredo and, to a lesser degree, Representative Duncan Hunter are
both one-tune Charlies. Just as Kucinich, Paul and Gravel serve as a
barometer of the antiwar vote, Tancredo and Hunter are the dipsticks
that will measure the depth of the new Republican signature issue:
Immigration Reform.
If you believe that immigration is the
defining issue of our times and that illegal immigrants are tearing at
the fabric of society and destroying the middle-class economy, then
these are your boys and Lou Dobbs is your man.
The relative
success of Tancredo and Hunter will determine how hard the Republican
anti-immigrant line will be. Their success at exploiting this gut
level scapegoating will also have implications for the opposition.
Those candidates on record as supporters of Free Trade will have no
meaningful response to the charge that immigration is to blame for the
decline of American working class.
SECOND TIER CANDIDATES:
WHAT DRIVES CHRISTOPHER DODD?
What
drives an individual to seek the highest office in the land at a
critical time in history? Some run to satisfy personal ambition. Some
seek a platform for important issues or political philosophies. Some
run because they believe they can change the world for the better and
some run as a means to other offices. Some run because they can.
In
the tortured process of presidential primaries, the greatest certainty
is that the unexpected will happen. A frontrunner will stumble and
fall. A little known, third tier candidate will emerge with widespread
support as a threat to the established order.
In the current
campaign, two presumptive heavyweights (McCain, Thompson) have fallen
from the upper tier and another (Huckabee) has sprung from the marginal
to contender status before a single vote has been cast.
Perhaps
that explains why the second tier candidates throw in for the chase.
In the media driven blood sport of presidential politics, anything can
happen. We remember too well that Howard Dean was the Democratic
frontrunner going into the 2004 Iowa caucus.
From a voters
perspective, there are many reasons to vote for a second tier
candidate. First, to register a protest or shape the policies of the
eventual nominee while holding out for the possibility that lightning
will strike. Second, to lend support for a candidate as a vice
presidential nominee or member of the cabinet. Third, to inform the
party and the candidates where you stand on the issues.
THE TERRORIST ATTACK CONTINGENCY: McCAIN and BIDEN
The
dirty little secret is that many of the candidates are running with the
possibility of another terrorist attack securely in hand. If the
unspeakable happens, the country will be looking for a hard line
leader.
The closest thing to General George Patton in either
party is Senator John McCain. Someday the gritty McCain may finally
accept that the war is over not the Iraq War, not Iran, and not the
Global War on Terror but Vietnam. No one wants to say it because the
man was tortured, hes a war hero and the country owes him a debt of
gratitude but the fact is he has been fighting the same war all these
years.
We may have great empathy for McCains pain but when he
lectures Congressman Ron Paul about appeasing the Third Reich and not
having the guts to win in Vietnam (as if 60,000 American and 2-3
million Vietnamese lives were not enough), we have a right to be
frightened. In fact, if we are not frightened, the nation is in grave
danger.
Senator McCain may best be considered the likely vice
presidential selection of Mayor Rudy Giuliani with his contingent of
Neocon advisers. McCain would become the Dick Cheney of a Giuliani
administration.
The Democratic equivalent to John McCain is
Senator Joe Biden. Like McCain, he is tough as nails though not half
as fanatic. His federalist solution to the Iraqi civil divide sets him
apart and a sizable majority of Senators voted with him. He calls for
a measured withdrawal but wishes to maintain a sizeable occupation
force indefinitely. Biden is willing to deal on all major issues,
including Free Trade, environmental policy and civil liberties.
Biden
will never gain the support of the left or the antiwar movement but in
the event of a terrorist attack, he is the policy alternative to
Hillary Clinton and his tough guy image is far more convincing.
REAGAN NOSTALGIA: FRED THOMPSON
The
Actor-Senator from good old Rocky Top should have been a front-runner
from the start but he showed up looking like he forgot to set his alarm
clock. Like the current president, Thompson too often seems uninformed
and out of touch. While invoking the name of Ronald Reagan, he appears
to have taken his cues from Reagans second term when the darling of
all conservatives consistently feigned deafness to avoid interaction
with the press.
By the time he awakens, the race should be
over but someone may consider him for the vice presidency if the
operatives believe he can deliver the NASCAR vote.
MEMORIES OF McCARTHY: CHRISTOPHER DODD
Senator
Dodd has quietly emerged as the frontline candidate with the strongest
progressive positions on the Iraq War, Fair Trade, Green America and
civil liberties. With his principled opposition to the restructured
FISA bill that offers immunity to telecommunication giants for
betraying their customers, Dodd gained the accolades of libertarians
and progressives alike.
Positioned between Dennis Kucinich and
John Edwards, if the war takes a dramatic turn for the worse (for
example, if Muqtada al Sadr declares an end to the ceasefire), Dodd
becomes a stronger antiwar alternative to Edwards. More likely,
Edwards may offer Dodd the VP slot if he prevails. The Senator from
Connecticut is well spoken, well informed and eminently qualified. It
is a shame that his candidacy has not gained more traction.
A vote for Dodd is a vote against the war.
HILLARYS MAN: BILL RICHARDSON
Governor
Richardson is probably the most qualified individual in either party to
step into the Oval Office and begin the job of rebuilding the nations
international prestige. He is a diplomat with impressive credentials.
Nevertheless, he is on the wrong side of the progressive ledger on the
death penalty and gun rights. He has compromised positions on Free
Trade and health care. Finally, while his stand on the war is
reasonably strong, he was for it before he was against it.
When
Richardson sacrificed valuable airtime defending frontrunner Hillary
Clinton against the legitimate attacks of Obama and Edwards in a
televised debate, he took himself out of the running for the top job.
His cards are on the table: He wants a job in the next Clinton White House.
THE LEADERBOARD: CLINTON, OBAMA, EDWARDS,
GIULIANI, ROMNEY and HUCKABEE
THE PRESIDENTIAL LEADERBOARD: THE PROMISE OF GREATNESS
It
has become a cliché: The next election will be the most critical in
the nations history. Traditionally, that designation is reserved for
elections in which the winning candidate rises to greatness: The
elections of Jefferson in 1800, Lincoln in 1860 and 1864, and Franklin
Roosevelt in 1932.
If not for an assassins bullet, the
elections of 1960 and 1968 may have risen to a level of greatness and
the election of 2000 may have qualified if the winner had taken office.
When one looks at the critical problems facing the American
nation global climate change, a world at war, an economy imperiled
the opportunities for greatness are abundant.
When one looks
at the leading candidates for the 2008 election, however, it is
difficult to envision a great leader emerging yet that is the challenge
facing the electorate.
It is instructive to recall that before
Lincoln, the nation elected Franklin Pierce and James Buchanan. Before
Roosevelt, we elected Calvin Coolidge and Herbert Hoover. The
consequences of choosing poorly at critical times are as profound as
the consequences of choosing wisely.
For those who limit their
choice to candidates with a realistic chance of winning the presidency,
theirs is the solemn responsibility of plucking greatness from the few
who have risen to the top of the presidential field.
THE NEGOTIATOR: HILLARY CLINTON
No
one goes to greater lengths to avoid taking a hard stand than the
junior senator from New York. She is a tried and true Free Trader who
talks a populist line. She promises to end the war but continue the
occupation. She manages to seem pro business to her corporate sponsors
and pro environment to the Democratic base. Her twists and turns on
the Iraq War are painfully well chronicled and her vote on the
Kyle-Lieberman amendment branding the Iranian Revolutionary Guard a
terrorist organization shortly before the intelligence community
debunked the Iranian threat was astonishing for its poor timing.
Hillary stands accused of being a closet Neocon.
If
you want mandatory health insurance, indefinite occupation and an oil
friendly green policy then Hillary is your candidate. If you believe
she is the best candidate to defeat the Republicans, you have not read
the poll numbers. If you want to bring back the good old days, have a
nice dream.
Hillary remains the Democratic frontrunner but her
strategy of surrogate mudslinging runs the risk of blowback. She has
already alienated the progressive antiwar left and the damage is
irreparable. She is a divider, not a uniter.
The great shame
is that the first woman with a realistic chance at the White House is
so fundamentally compromised that progressive women cannot support her
cause.
THE PROSECUTOR: RUDY GIULIANI
Not since Bogie
has there been such a prominent tough guy with a lisp. Rudy will
forever be known for his spontaneous like comment after September 11,
2001: Thank God George Bush is our president. He was just as glad
that friend Bernie Kerik was going to Washington as head of Homeland
Security before he came under indictment. Democratic
Senator
Joe Biden is right: Americas mayor knows very little about foreign
policy yet he is willing to pretend he does. Rudy still believes that
Iraq is the frontline in the Global War on Terror, Saddam Hussein was
connected to 9-11, Iran has nuclear weapons and Hugo Chavez is a
communist dictator. If Rudy is elected, the Neocons can keep their
apartments in Georgetown, Halliburton stock continues to rise and
Blackwater is still in business.
A vote for Rudy is a vote for war.
THE PRAGMATIST: BARACK OBAMA
Senator
Obama appeared on the national scene with a bold message of unity and
idealism. Though his policies appear to mirror Hillary Clintons in
large measure, he strikes a chord when he decries mandatory health
insurance as a policy of the insurance companies. On the war in Iraq,
Obamas virtue is that opposed the invasion from the start.
For
all the criticisms of his experience, the Senator from Illinois appears
every bit as knowledgeable, as well informed and polished as the
Clintons. If a vote for Obama is a gamble, as former president Bill
Clinton insinuated, at least there is an upside. Obama looks like a
statesman, talks like a visionary and inspires as few politicians can
but he drafts policy like the negotiator. Ironically, it may be the
shadow of Hillary Clinton that holds him back.
A vote for
Obama is a vote of faith for those who perceive in his character the
seed of greatness. Will he end the war and the occupation? Will he
secure universal health care? Will he stand up for international labor
and fair trade? Will he seize the initiative of green technology?
Will he take on the corporate interests?
If you believe he
will rise to the challenge, he is a worthy alternative to the Clinton
mandate. If you do not, he is just another opportunistic politician.
THE CHRISTIAN LEADER: MIKE HUCKABEE
President
Huckabee? Never say never. The Governor of Arkansas defines the
Christian right and the support he is building is a perfect measure of
fundamentalist discontent with the phony and opportunistic policy
turnarounds of Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney.
Huckabee is a
feel good Christian who is completely unfit to be the commander of a
faltering super power at war. Do we really want a president who
believes the Lord Almighty is behind his rise in the polls? Do we
really want another president who believes he is the chosen one? Do we
want a president who is not certain how Jesus would stand on capital
punishment, torture or aggressive war?
Governor Huckabee has
pushed Governor Romney to the religious right. As an individual who
believes that spiritual beliefs are a private matter and that the
separation of church and state is a fundamental tenet of democracy,
there is no place for me in either Huckabees or Romneys America.
Do we really want a Christian leader in command of an imperialist crusade? I pray that we do not.
THE POPULIST: JOHN EDWARDS
Senator
Edwards began his quest for the White House four years ago as the only
candidate in memory to address the problem of poverty. The poor did
not and do not vote yet here was a man staking his claim to champion
the disenfranchised.
Edwards began as the rhetorical populist
and is evolving into the real deal. Some may rightly question whether
his evolution is sincere yet we would do well to remember that FDR did
not embrace the principles of the New Deal until Huey Long and the
Great Depression pushed him to it. We should recall as well that Ralph
Naders rationale for running a third party campaign was to apply
pressure to shape mainstream politics. At this juncture, only Edwards
has responded. He stands alone on the leader board as the best
candidate for the issues that matter most: Iraq, Iran, New Orleans,
Fair Trade, global climate change, corporate dominance and universal
health care. We can only hope that the process of evolution continues.
Ironically, Edwards handicap in the primary season is that he
is a white male but if the economy stumbles badly (as it inevitably
will), the common people will begin to envision poverty and will turn
to the populist message. Edwards will capitalize.
Barring the unspeakable, Edwards would defeat any Republican in the general election.
THE CHAMELEON: MITT ROMNEY
We
have seen this act from a Massachusetts politician before: He was pro
choice before he was anti abortion. He was for gun control before he
was against it. As a governor, he was tolerant of homosexuals and
undocumented workers. He claims to have evolved but these are not
policy positions but principles of moral founding. As such, his
evolution appears less guided by principle and more by poll numbers and
focus groups.
Mitt Romney is the Republican equivalent to
Hillary Clinton but he faces the competition of Rudy Giuliani. Both
have shaped their policies to the majority position of the party on
every issue from immigration and abortion to war and taxes.
Oh
yes, Romney is a Mormon but we will have to wait for someone other than
the former governor to explain exactly what that means. As the surge
of support for Huckabee attests, it likely means the Christian
fundamentalist base will abandon him.
Like all the Republican contenders, success in the general election would require an unspeakable event.
Jazz.
JACK
RANDOM IS THE AUTHOR OF THE JAZZMAN CHRONICLES (CROW DOG PRESS) AND
GHOST DANCE INSURRECTION (DRY BONES PRESS). THE CHRONICLES HAVE BEEN
POSTED ON NUMEROUS CITES OF THE WORLDWIDE WEB, INCLUDING THE ALBION
MONITOR, BELLACIAO, BUZZLE, COUNTERPUNCH, DISSIDENT VOICE, THE NATIONAL
FREE PRESS AND PACIFIC FREE PRESS. SEE
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