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Ninth Circle: The Widening Gyre of Iraq's Death Spiral
by Chris Floyd
If you would like a glimpse of the raging, death-clotted hell that George W. Bush and his willing executioners in the bipartisan American Establishment have created in Iraq, then steel yourself and plunge into Nir Rosen's shattering report in the latest issue of Boston Review: No Going Back.
Rosen, long one of the most dogged and fearless truth-tellers about Iraq, portrays a reality light-years away from the obscenely mendacious and ignorant American "debate" over Bush's rapine and its consequences.
He takes as his theme the millions of Iraqis driven from
their homes by the invasion and occupation and by the Iraqi
"government's" own "security forces."
These
ruthless militias armed, trained, funded and empowered by the United
States are, as Rosen rightly terms them, death squads, carrying out a
savage ethnic cleansing with American connivance while waging a
multi-sided civil war, again with the eager assistance of the White
House and its myrmidons.
You should read the whole piece a
deftly-woven tapestry of individual stories of the actual human beings
whose lives and families have been ravaged by this war crime carried
out in your name but below are some excerpts, mostly drawn from
Rosen's devastating conclusion:
For the U.S. to acknowledge
the size and seriousness of the humanitarian disaster in Iraq would be
to admit that the recent troop surge is not working. According to a
senior UN official, the U.S. government doesnt want to admit there is
a refugee problem because it is a sign of failure. It would also mean
acknowledging that a massive process of ethnic cleansing has taken
place under the watch of the U.S.-backed governmentindeed, that it has
been perpetrated by the Iraqi governments own security forces....
What
will happen to Iraq? Think Mogadishu, small warlords controlling
various neighborhoods, militias preying on those left behind, more
powerful warlords controlling areas with resources, such as oil fields,
ports, and lucrative pilgrimage routes and shrines. Irredentist Sunni
militias will attempt to retake their lost land, but they will be
pushed into the Anbar Province, Jordan, and Syria, where they may link
up with local Islamist militants to destabilize Amman and Damascus.
Some will look to fight elsewhere; unable to continue the jihad in Iraq
they will find common cause with Palestinians, Lebanese, Syrians, and
others alienated from their societies and hateful of Shias. The new
rump Shia statelet, including Baghdad and the South, will be
quarantined by the Sunni states in the region and pushed inexorably
into Iranian hands whether Shia Iraqis want this or not. It will be
isolated and radicalized, and Shia militias loyal to Muqtada al Sadr,
Abdul Aziz al Hakim, Muhamad al Yaqubi, and others will battle for
power.
There is no surge. At best it can be called an ooze, a
slow increase of American occupying forces by a mere 15 percent,
consisting of few new soldiers and many whose terms of service have
been merely extended. Yet the U.S. has doubled the size of its mission,
announcing it will also take on the Shia militias as well as the Sunni
ones. On the ground, that means American soldiers secure areas and then
hand them over to Iraqi security forces who impose a reign of terror on
the inhabitants. In the Iraqi civil war the army and police are not the
solution; they are combatants, fighting on behalf of Shia-sectarian
Islamist parties. The vaunted efforts to train Iraqi security forces
have merely trained better death squads. The Americans continue to
imprison thousands of Iraqis, and kill many others. Meanwhile,
humanitarian organizations that would normally demand that the United
States comply with international law and hand over imprisoned Iraqis to
the sovereign Iraqi government are not doing so, knowing that their
treatment at the hands of the government would be far worse than
anything they would endure while in American captivity. The occupation
is not benign. It is profoundly painful, humiliating, and lethal.
An
American withdrawal would certainly lead other countries in the region,
whether Turkey, Jordan, Iran, Syria, or Saudi Arabia, to increase their
involvement in Iraq. It would also mean an expedited removal of Sunnis
in Baghdad. But all this is happening anyway, so it doesnt make much
difference in terms of the fate of Iraq whether American military
forces stay or leave.
The truth is that the American military
will remain in Iraq for a long time. The large bases in Anbar Province,
such as al Assad and Taqaddum are built to last, an enduring
presence, as one Marine officer told me. Located in the remote desert,
impregnable and only occasionally targeted by mortars, these bases will
remain for decades. The Americans may eventually withdraw from the
urban areas of Iraq, but full withdrawal, through the treacherous roads
of the Anbar to Jordan, through the south past Shia militias on the way
to Kuwait or even through the so-called Sunni Triangle, Samarra, and
Tikrit or through Mosul to Kurdistan or Turkey, would be a withdrawal
under fire and involve slaughter for the Iraqis.
The American
occupation has been more disastrous than the Mongols sack of Baghdad
in the 13th century. Iraqs human capital has fled, its intellectuals
and professionals, the educated, the moneyed classes, the political
elite. They will not return. And the government is nonexistent at best.
After finally succumbing to Iraqi pressure, the Americans submitted to
elections but deliberately emasculated the central government and the
office of the prime minister. Now Prime Minister Nuri al Maliki is the
scapegoat for American failure in Iraq, and there are calls to remove
him or overthrow him. But talk of a coup to replace Maliki fails to
understand that he is irrelevant. Gone are the days when Baghdad was
the only major city in Iraq, and whoever controlled Baghdad controlled
the country. The continued focus on the theater in the Green Zone
ignores the reality that events there have never determined what
happens outside of it. Iraq is a collection of city states such as
Baghdad, Mosul, Basra, Ramadi, Erbil, and others, each controlled by
various warlords with their own militias. And the villages are entirely
unprotected. Maliki will be the last prime minister of Iraq. When he is
run out there will be no new elections, since they cant be run safely
and fairly anymore, and the pretense of an Iraqi state will be over.
It
has become popular with former supporters of the war to blame the
Iraqis for the Americans failure. The Iraqis did not choose democracy
or the Iraqis did not choose freedom, Americans like to say, or the
Iraqis have to decide to stop killing each other or Iraqis have to
step up. But such complaints misplace the blame. Sunni and Shia
Iraqis protested the American occupation as soon as it began, and
demanded elections and sovereignty. The U.S. ignored their demands and
instead imposed a dictator on them, Paul Bremer, hoping he would pave
the way for an Iraqi strongman to rule in our stead. Other former
supporters of the war, echoing the simplistic sentiments heard during
the Balkan wars, now blame the alleged ancient hatred between Sunnis
and Shias, who have been fighting each other for thousands of years.
But Iraq had no history of civil war or sectarian violence even
approaching this scale until the Americans arrived. Iraq is not Rwanda,
where Hutus and Tutsis slaughtered each other and America could pretend
it had no role. We did this to Iraq. And it is time the U.S and the
international community step up to the resulting humanitarian
nightmare.
One follow-up note:
As Arthur Silber has
noted, Hillary Clinton is prominent among those "former supporters of
the war [who] blame the Iraqis for the Americans failure." As Arthur
puts it:
Our
troops did the job they were asked to do. They got rid of Saddam
Hussein. They conducted the search for weapons of mass destruction.
They gave the Iraqi people a chance for elections and to have a
government. It is the Iraqis who have failed to take advantage of that
opportunity.
Inhumanity indeed. This astonishing statement
bespeaks a depraved and dangerous mind, addled by long exposure to
imperial power and privilege. Read the stories that Rosen tells of
ordinary people being chewed to pieces by the engine that Clinton
helped set in motion, then see if you too, like the honorable senator
from New York, believe they are just ungrateful wretches "who have
failed to take advantage" of the wonderful opportunity Bush and Clinton
have given them.