LIBOR, Baltimore, and the Big Banks Conspiracy
Baltimore, Big Banks and a Criminal Conspiracy
by TRNN
Baltimore (that's the city) is leading the charge of American cities
suing some of the big banks because they manipulated the LIBOR
rate—that's the London interbank offering, where banks every day get
together and decide—compare notes, apparently, and establish what will
be interbank loan rate, which tends to influence something like
$800 trillion of investments in derivatives, mortgages, and they
apparently were manipulating this to their advantage. Of course, the
banks deny all of this. They deny it even though Barclays Bank, one of
the bigger these banks, had to negotiate a settlement with the British
government for several hundreds of millions of dollars but still claims
it did no wrongdoing.
Bill Black: The LIBOR fraud stole millions upon millions from American cities and people around the world
PAUL JAY, SENIOR EDITOR, TRNN: Welcome to The Real News Network. I'm Paul Jay in Baltimore.
And now joining us is an expert in bank wrongdoing, Bill Black. He's a former financial regulator. He teaches at the University of Missouri–Kansas City. He's the author of the book The Best Way to Rob a Bank Is to Own One. And he's an often-contributor to The Real News Network. Thanks for joining us again, Bill.WILLIAM K. BLACK, ASSOC. PROF. ECONOMICS AND LAW, UMKC: Thank you.JAY:
Alright. So the banks are saying that they didn't manipulate this rate.
Even though Barclays made this settlement, there's still the American
banks claiming they didn't do anything of the kind. And they're
saying—one of the main accusations against the banks is that they
lowered rates in a manipulative way—and raised them, but in some ways
the accusation coming from Baltimore and some of the other cities is
that they lowered rates. And the banks are saying, well, how would it be
in our interest to lower rates when we would have made less money on
the loans we were lending out? They're suggesting it would have been a
wash, so why do it. So take us through this.
BLACK: So
there are two different ways in which LIBOR was manipulated, according
to the admissions from Barclays and the documents that have been
revealed. One way that it was manipulated was to help the trading
positions that the banks had. So the banks are massive banks. Barclays
is a $1 trillion bank. And, of course, it's doing all kinds of trades.
Well, those trades would be helped if interest rates were reported to be
higher or lower, because that would move the LIBOR rate, and their
investments are based or indexed off of the LIBOR rate.And
so the emails demonstrate conclusively that that's exactly what
Barclays did, that they would put in false statements to the British
Bankers Association, which is the group that compiles LIBOR, claiming
that they could borrow money from other banks at a certain rate. But
that statement would not be true. It would be manipulated to maximize
the value of the trading position.
JAY: And that makes the
banks look stronger than they really were, and allows them to borrow
money elsewhere in the financial markets, which they can then go and
play in proprietary trades and derivatives trading and all the various
subprime nonsense that was going on. Is that part of the story?
BLACK:
It's actually worse than that. This isn't an accounting fraud. This
actually makes them a profit. In other words, they're able to gimmick
the trade after the trade is made. Say I make a trade that would be
worth more if LIBOR fell and LIBOR didn't fall. Well, I just manipulate
LIBOR so that it does fall, and then my trade wins. So I can take a
losing bet and change it into a winning bet. So this comes, of course,
at the expense of whoever is on the other side of the trade.
JAY: And often that is—and sometimes that's a city like Baltimore.
BLACK:
It could be a city like Baltimore. It could be anybody. It could be
other banks as well. So that one is—you know, no ones even attempts to
defend that, other than some people who claim, well, it must have been
sort of a wash—they were cheating some people and helping others. You
know, that's insane. As you said, we're talking about manipulating
things that change the transaction for hundreds of trillions of dollars
of investments.
JAY: Now, explain the process. There's a
daily morning phone call, and representatives of the biggest banks are
on it, and they wink-wink nudge-nudge. What is the wink-wink
nudge-nudge? What exactly do they do?
BLACK: Well, they're
not supposed to wink-wink nudge-nudge. They're supposed to report what
it actually costs them to borrow from other banks of their ilk on a
short-term basis in a particular currency, and then the British Bankers
Association takes those and it tosses out, you know, the highest rates
and it tosses out the bottom rates and does sort of an average of the
ones that are left, and it's published as LIBOR. So, you know, LIBOR
might be 2 percent as denominated in U.S. dollars for overnight money,
and it might be 2.5 percent denominated in Swiss francs for seven-day
money, that type of thing.But the key is that LIBOR is
used to index interest rates wherever the interest rates vary with
changes in the economy. This is supposed to protect you against
inflation and the interest rate risk that comes from inflation—or
deflation, for that matter. And LIBOR is by far the largest index in the
world, so it's used, you know, as I said, in hundreds of trillions of
dollars of transactions. Plus many of these transactions can be quite
long-term, including U.S. and Canadian mortgages and such. And so—and
United Kingdom mortgages. So if you locked yourself in, in the U.S.
context, to a 30-year mortgage at LIBOR plus 4 percent (which is how it
would be phrased), then you were stuck for 30 years with a higher rate
because of that manipulation that day of LIBOR.
JAY: Right.
Now, Bill, take us through the other way. Baltimore, in some of the
American cities' case, if I understand correctly, is actually more that
the rates were lowered artificially, as—I understand the upward thing.
How does Baltimore lose money when the rates go down?
BLACK:
Okay. So this is the second type of scam that Barclays has admitted to,
and this scam was in the context of the full bloom of the financial
crisis. And during the full bloom of the financial crisis, LIBOR was
looked at as the equivalent of a thermometer that showed how bad the
fever was at these very large banks from their consumption of these
toxic mortgages. And the idea was, if it cost you a lot of money, you
know, more money to borrow from your nearest rivals, who presumably knew
you best, well, they would only be demanding that higher interest rate
if they knew you were sicker. And so LIBOR was supposed to be this
objective measurement that showed how sick the banks were.So the idea was to manipulate LIBOR artificially down, so that it was as if you were reporting, I have hardly any fever at all, I'm really quite good.
Now, the controversy in particular is: did the British banking
authorities and the British government encourage the banks to manipulate
LIBOR downwards during the heyday of the financial crisis?
JAY: Right. Alright. So let's pick up again with Baltimore. So why does Baltimore lose money when they manipulate the rate down?
BLACK:
So Baltimore, and anybody else who bought a security that paid interest
that varied, depending on—it was indexed off of LIBOR—say they entered a
deal where they got LIBOR plus 4 percent. Well, if you artificially
deflate LIBOR's rate, then they get less money in Baltimore.
JAY:
This is: Baltimore then takes some of its money, it parks it in bonds
of some kind, and it earns money the higher the rates are. So if rates
go down, the yield back on the bonds to them is less and Baltimore's out
millions of dollars. And this is a city that probably no one needs to
be reminded is closing recreational centers, so a few millions of
dollars makes a big difference. So is that right?
BLACK:
That's correct, although it didn't have to be just bonds, and probably
larger, various kinds of financial derivatives. And so cities and
localities and industries often try to protect themselves against
interest rate risk and inflation. In a situation where they're getting a
fixed rate of interest, they will enter into what's called an interest
rate swap, and in the swap they get a variable rate of interest instead.
The counterparty pays them this variable rate of interest, which,
again, is typically based off of LIBOR. So if it's manipulated down,
they get less money in this swap. And there are trillions of dollars of
these swaps. And so everybody that purchased the variable interest rate
portion of these swaps got less money because of the manipulation of
LIBOR during the acute phase of the crisis, when everything was going
crazy, which was a long time, a couple of years, times hundreds of
trillions of dollars. You can see you can get massive damages.
JAY: Right. Okay. Now, apparently this practice began perhaps in 2005 and such. In 2007, The New York Times
reported on Friday that an employee from Barclays informed the New York
Fed, then headed by Tim Geithner, that this was going on, and
apparently there was more information came from Barclays to the New York
Fed in 2008. So, I guess, a two-part question here. One, is this
essentially a criminal conspiracy between these banks? And two, is it
possible that Geithner's going to be implicated in all of this? Start
with one.
BLACK: Under the U.S. laws, it is a criminal
conspiracy if what Barclays says is true, because this was a cartel
operation in which they purported to simply be reporting prices but in
fact they were creating and fixing prices for the benefit of the members
of the cartel. So we have to be a little careful about
pronouns when you say it began in 2005. We think what began in 2005 was
the first type of manipulation that I described, which is where the
banks manipulate LIBOR, either up or down, to make their trading
positions more valuable. So that began, according to news stories that
are out, at least as early as 2005. And, of course, this is without much
discovery or investigation of the other major banks, so this day could
get pushed back quite a bit.In 2007, the New York Fed
was—which is where Geithner was the president—was informed by Barclays
traders that the rate was being manipulated down. So this is when the
crisis has begun. And they, the New York Fed, is then informed on
additional occasions by Barclays that the rate's being manipulated down.
And the New York Fed certainly takes no effective action. The New York
Fed has not really said what it did, other than some, you know, vague
stuff that we looked at it or something. But they don't appear to have
made criminal referrals. That's going to be the key question: did they
make criminal referrals on all of this to the Justice Department?
JAY:
And so if this is going to be pursued in a way you think it should be
pursued, what are the next steps by the Justice Department or the
regulators who—I mean, it's not like they didn't know. We know one of
the main regulators of all this is the New York Fed, and they did know.
So it's not like the regulators didn't know about this.
BLACK:
And worse, the story in Barclays' story is that the Bank of England
encouraged them and indeed pressured them to—them being Barclays—to
provide artificially lowered rates to make the British banking system
look safer. If that's true, then it's very difficult for British
authorities to prosecute.JAY: And it may be true for the New York Fed too, for the same reasons.
BLACK:
That's right. So if the New York Fed screwed up our ability to
prosecute by not taking any action against Barclays, well, you know,
that's not a crime by Geithner, but it's certainly something where he
should resign immediately for that additional screwup to all the other—I
mean, he was an abject failure as a regulator.What we
haven't explained at this point is, while this is the London Interbank
Offered Rate, LIBOR, there are American banks participating in the
creation of LIBOR, and these American banks, of course, were regulated
directly by the New York Fed, as well as the New York Fed actually had
regulatory authority over the operations of a number of the British
banks in the United States, and therefore should have been on its toes
investigating in that capacity as well.
JAY: Alright. We'll
come back to you in a few days, Bill, as this story continues to break
and sort of keep going at this. Thanks very much for joining us.BLACK: Thank you.
JAY:
And thank you for joining us on The Real News Network. And don't forget
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