Repubs Plot Israel-Iran Apocalypse
and the Collapse of the US Economy
by Juan Cole
amal Abdi at HuffPo explains
that almost a third of Republicans in the House have signed on to a resolution urging Israel to attack Iran.
The National Iranian American Council has a petition you can sign calling on minority leader John Boehner to repudiate this measure.
The move is reminiscent of the 1998 letter the Project for a New
American Century signatories sent to President Clinton, putting pressure
on him to initiate war on Iraq. They did maneuver him into pulling out
UN weapons inspectors and bombing Iraq. The US removal of the
inspectors made the West blind as to the lack of Iraqi weapons programs,
since their absence could no longer be certified.
In turn, Iraq’s
opaqueness as a result of the Clinton actions allowed the Bill Kristol
crowd and the rest of the Israel, war industry and oil lobbies to
propagandize America into the fruitless and ruinous Iraq War. Now they
are repeating this pattern with regard to Iran.
Think about how weird it is.
early half of Republicans in the House
are from the South, which has relatively few Jewish Americans. So this
resolution is likely emanating from the Christian Zionists like John Hagee
(who once said that God sent Hitler to punish the Jews for being
outside Israel). It is not impossible that the people behind this
resolution are fervently hoping for the Judgment Day to come more
quickly and look forward to a Middle East apocalypse as a step toward
the Return of Christ and the end of that pesky but temporarily necessary
Judaism. In other words, for these right wing Americans to call for
Israel to go to war on behalf of America is just one more case of white
Christians sacrificing Jews for their own interests and is a form of
The likely outcome of an Israeli military strike on Iran s as follows:
Iran will use Shiite operatives and militiamen to kill the
increasingly vulnerable remaining US troops in Iraq (once there are less
than 50,000 non-combat troops in that country, they are not troops,
they are hostages).
Iran will stir up its substantial number of clients in Afghanistan
to hit the United States, widening the insurgency from mainly Pashtun
Taliban to include fundamentalist Tajiks and Hazaras. The US will
remain mired in that war, perhaps for decades, as a result.
Iran will probably bide its time and act in covert and hard to
trace ways against US interests in the region. There could be more
operations like the Khobar Towers bombing of US troops in Saudi Arabia
or the 1983 attack on a Marine barracks in Beirut. All US commercial
and government offices in the region would become targets.
A fair likelihood exists that Hizbullah would do something to
Israel in revenge, possibly provoking another Israel-Lebanon War. The
last war did not go well for Israel, despite its massive military
superiority. A fourth of Israelis were forced to move house, chemical
gas facilities in Haifa were threatened (and the Dimona Nuclear plant
that makes all those Israeli nuclear warheads could be), and Hizbullah
had broken Israeli radio encryption and knew all the Israeli army plans
Not only would the democratically inclined opposition movement in
Iran evaporate, but Muslim fundamentalists in Egypt, Jordan and other US
allies would mobilize and perhaps gain in popularity out of
anti-imperial solidarity. (Only 6% of ordinary Arabs is worried about an
Iranian nuclear bomb, whereas almost all are disturbed by Israel’s
treatment of the Palestinians).
The price of oil would spike, likely to 2008 highs of $140 a barrel, throwing the world back into Depression.
Once such hostilities began, and given these likely responses, the
US could well get sucked into a third major Middle East war, against a
country geographically much bigger than either Iraq or Afghanistan, and
more than twice as populous as each of them. At another $1 trillion,
that cost would push the US into $14 trillion in indebtedness all by
itself, and since that is American annual gross domestic product, it
could trigger a downgrading of American credit, making the interest
servicing on existing and future loans far more expensive and, along
with crippling high oil prices, beginning America’s final spiral down
into poverty and weakness.